There Could Be a Good Reason to Take the Over in the Jaguars-Saints Game Thursday Night

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Oct/19/2023

  • Total appears to be moving in the wrong direction based on where the action is coming in

  • Jaguars starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence listed as questionable

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Action was balanced on the spread coming into the Thursday Night Football game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and New Orleans Saints, however, the UNDER was seeing 60% with a total that has moved from 38.5 to 40.5 in recent days.

So basically opposite of where it should be moving.  We've seen the number as high as 43 at Bookmaker.  The OVER is quite enticing here

Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence listed as questionable with the team signing third stringer Nathan Rourke to the active roster.  The line moved from Saints +1 to -2 during the course of the week.  If Lawrence were to start, Sagarin gives us a number of Jaguars -3.29.  Head coach Doug Pederson does anticipate Lawrence starting in this game.  Indeed he has started every game during his three professional seasons and last missed a game during his final collegiate year at Clemson.

The Saints are 3-3 Straight Up but have only covered in one game thus far.  Jacksonville is 4-2 both Straight Up and Against The Spread.  The Jaguars are looking to win four straight following a slow start to the season.

Available Game Props

NOS Total Touchdowns O/U 2.5
JAX Total Touchdowns O/U 1.5
NOS Total Field Goals O/U 1.5
JAX Total Field Goals O/U 1.5
Time of First Score O/U 7 (mins elapsed)
3 Straight Scores by Either Team
Team to Score Last
Team to Score First
Highest Scoring Half
Race to 10 Points
Race to 15 Points
Race to 20 Points
Will there be a safety
Largest Lead (either team) O/U 14.5
Will NOS Score on their First Drive
Will JAX Score on their First Drive
Defensive or special teams TD scored
Longest Touchdown O/U 34.5 Yards
Any Team to Score 40+ Points
Both Teams to Score 19.5
Both Teams to Score 24.5
First score of Game is Touchdown
Team to Score First Wins
Team to Score Last Wins
Will there be Overtime
Will there be a Scoreless Quarter
Total Points Odd
Total First Downs O/U 39.5
Most First Downs
First Drive Result

Margin of Victory Prop Bets

Rot     Winning Margin     Moneyline
3089     Jaguars to win by 1-6 pts         +280
3090     Jaguars to win by 7-12 pts         +500
3091     Jaguars to win by 13-18 pts         +900
3092     Jaguars to win by 19-24 pts         +1800
3093     Jaguars to win by 25-30 pts         +4000
3094     Jaguars to win by 31-36 pts         +6000
3095     Jaguars to win by 37-42 pts         +10000
3096     Jaguars to win by 43 or More pts         +11000
3097     Saints to win by 1-6 pts         +290
3098     Saints to win by 7-12 pts         +470
3099     Saints to win by 13-18 pts         +800
3100     Saints to win by 19-24 pts         +1600
3101     Saints to win by 25-30 pts         +3500
3102     Saints to win by 31-36 pts         +5500
3103     Saints to win by 37-42 pts         +10000
3104     Saints to win by 43 or More pts         +11000
3105     Tie         +5000

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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