What Are The Payout Odds If a Japanese Horse Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?

Written by:
Tyrone Black
Published on:
May/02/2024

There are two horses representing Japan racing in the 2024 Kentucky Derby, and both are more than capable.  TO Password pays out the most at $3500 for every $100 bet, but Forever Young looks like the horse that can get the job done at 8-1 odds for a payout of $800 on every $100 bet.

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TO Password

TO Password was sired by Copano Rickey out of the King Kamehameha mare T O Rachel.  This will be trainer Daisuke Takayanagi's first Kentucky Derby.

He's only raced twice, but both of those were wins.

Kazushi Kimura is the jockey for TO Password.  He took his riding talents from Japan to North America, where he was honored this month with his third consecutive Sovereign Award as Canada’s champion jockey.

It's just a matter of time before a horse from Japan wins the Kentucky Derby but TO Password's lack of experience and poor post position of 9 (no horse has run here since 1972) have resulted in TO Password's high payout potential should he go on to win the Derby.


Forever Young

Forever Young was sired by Real Steel out of the Congrats mare Forever Darling. He was trained by Yoshito Yahagi and has raced for Susumu Fujita.

He has been sensational, winning all of his races.  Four of those were stake races.

He broke from an unfavorable outside post and lost ground the entire way in the UAE Derby (G2) at Meydan on March 30 , but still pulled off the win.

The problem is no UAE Derby winner has gone on to be victorious in the Kentucky Derby.  This could have something to do with what we all suffer with when traveling overseas, jet lag.

There are plenty of folks who believe Forever Young is the best horse to ever race in the Kentucky Derby from Japan.

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It's Just a Matter of Time

"Japanese horses have been formidable for years now on an international stage. It's just a matter of time until one of them wins the Kentucky Derby if they keep supporting the Derby the way they are currently. He's a perfect 5-for-5. He won the UAE Derby despite going four wide on both turns". - Source: Bloodhorse

Odds to Win the 2024 Kentucky Derby

After Post Position Draw

*Find Live Odds Here
Rot     To Win The 2024 Kentucky Derby     Moneyline
1     Dornoch         +2000
2     Sierra Leone         +325
3     Mystik Dan         +2200
4     Catching Freedom         +900
5     Catalytic         +4000
6     Just Steel         +2500
7     Honor Marie         +1600
8     Just a Touch         +1100
10     TO Password         +3500
11     Forever Young         +800
12     Track Phantom         +2700
13     West Saratoga         +4500
14     Endlessly         +2600
15     Domestic Product         +2500
16     Grand Mo the First         +5000
17     Fierceness         +250
18     Stronghold         +2000
19     Resilience         +2400
20     Society Man         +4000
21     AE/21 Epic Ride         +5000

Early

1     Fierceness         +275
3     Track Phantom         +2000
4     Dornoch         +2000
5     Sierra Leone         +325
6     Hades         +4000
7     Mystik Dan         +2000
11     Epic Ride         +5000
13     Catching Freedom         +1000
15     Honor Marie         +2000
17     Domestic Product         +2200
19     Just Steel         +2500
20     Resilience         +2000
29     Stronghold         +2000
30     Just A Touch         +1700
34     Forever Young         +800
38     Encino         +2800
43     Endlessly         +2500
49     Common Defense         +6600
50     West Saratoga         +6600
51     T O Password         +7500
52     Catalytic         +6000
53     Society Man         +6600
54     Grand Mo The First         +7500

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