Free MLB Picks - August 17, 2023

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Aug/17/2023

We are now live at the G911 Sports Hub.  Let's look at today's abbreviated MLB slate.

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Tigers @ Guardians

The Detroit Tigers have gone 6-4 against the Cleveland Guardians, who are the worst in the AL against lefty pitchers.

Tarik Skubal has pitched better of late than his 4.18 ERA across seven starts might otherwise suggest.

Detroit has won five of their last eight while Cleveland is winning around 40% of their recent games.

Brewers @ Dodgers

Corbin Burnes has been solid against LA, allowing just 16 hits in 66 at bats with only one home run.

Burnes hasn't had a win in his last four.  He surrendering five runs on eight hits over his 5 2/3 innings of work against the White Sox his last start and did not factor into the decision. He logged a quality start in a no-decision against the Pirates the start before that.  Burnes is capable of pitching deep.

The Brewers have won six of their last ten games, dropping their last two to the Dodgers.

Lance Lynn has been hit a little harder when facing the Brewers current lineup.  They are 23-for-78 against him with three homers, two by Christian Yelich. 

Lynn will come off of this one having three straight wins.  In his last two starts, he allowed a total of two runs to score. He, too, is capable of going deep.

Six of the last ten meetings have gone UNDER the current total of 8.5.

The Dodgers haven't lost in their last ten.  Six of their last seven starts have remained UNDER the 8.5 total.

Milwaukee has six games in their last ten where they have not scored more than three runs.  They've allowed no more than four runs in half of their last ten and Burnes we think should follow that trend.

Take the UNDER 8.5 here.

Gambling911 Upcoming Hot Plays/Results

Wednesday August 16 - No Plays

Tuesday August 15 - Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs - Pick Cubs -175 L

Monday August 14 - Baltimore Orioles @ San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 W

Monday August 14 - Houston Astros @ Miami Marlins - Pick Astros -135 L

Sunday August 13 - Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -130 W

Sunday August 13 - LA Angels @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -130 L

Saturday August 12 - Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Blue Jays -110 L

Friday August 11 - San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick UNDER 9 L

Thursday August 10 - No Plays

Wednesday August 9 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -134 W

Tuesday August 8 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -152 W

Monday August 7 - No Plays

Sunday August 6 - Miami Marlins @ Texas Rangers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Saturday August 5 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L

Friday August 4 - No Plays

Thursday August 3 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L

Wednesday August 2 - No Plays

Tuesday August 1 - Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants - Pick UNDER 7.5 W

Monday July 31 - No Plays

Sunday July 30 - Seattle Mariners @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Seattle -104 W

Saturday July 29 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -132 W

Friday July 28 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates - Pick Phillies -158 W

Thursday July 27 - No Plays

Wednesday July 26 - No Plays

Tuesday July 25 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick Brewers -150 L

Monday July 24 - Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -115 W

Sunday July 23 - No Plays

Saturday July 22 - New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -110 W

Friday July 21 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Blue Jays +110 L

Wednesday July 19 - Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners - Pick UNDER 7.5 L

Tuesday July 18 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -130 W

Monday July 17 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick UNDER 8.5 W

Sunday July 16 - Houston Astros @ LA Angels W

Saturday July 15 - Boston Red Sox @ Chicago Cubs -105 L

Friday July 14 - Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds - Pick Brewers -112 W

Sunday July 9 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - Pick Blue Jays -130 W

Saturday July 8 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 9.5 W

Saturday July 8 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -180 W

Friday July 7 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins - Pick Phillies -134 W

Friday July 7 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -175 W

Friday July 7 - Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -145 L

Thursday July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins L

Wednesday July 5 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Tuesday July 4 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Blue Jays -120 W

Monday July 3 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 9 L

Sunday July 2 - Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick Twins L

Friday June 30 - Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -169 L

Thursday June 29 - LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies - Pick UNDER 12 L

Wednesday June 28 - Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals - Pick Guardians W

Thursday June 22 - Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins W

Tuesday June 20 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Monday June 19 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Rangers -128 W

Sunday June 18 - Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -150 W

Saturday June 17 - Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals - Pick Marlins -170 W

Thursday June 15 - Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Wednesday June 14 - New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Pick UNDER 7 P

Tuesday June 13 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Pick Orioles +105 W

Monday June 12 - Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -130 W

Sunday June 11 - Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total 8 - Pick UNDER 8 L

Friday June 9 - Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Under 8.5 W

Wednesday June 7 - Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres - Pick Mariners +100 L

Tuesday June 6 - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Pick Red Sox -106 W

Monday June 5 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick Rays -140 W

Monday June 5 - Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins -155 W

Sunday June 4 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9 W

Sunday June 4 - Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Pick White Sox -167 W

Saturday June 3 - Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -143 W

Saturday June 3 - Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 W

Wednesday May 31 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants UNDER 8 L

Wednesday May 31 - Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros UNDER 8 L

Tuesday May 23 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Cleveland Guardians (Logan Allen) - Pick - Under 8.5 W

Wednesday May 24 - San Francisco Giants (Anthony DeSclafani) vs. Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan) - Under 7.5 L (8 runs scored)

Thursday May 25 Gambling911.com Play - Toronto Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin) - Pick Tampa Bay Rays -170 W

Friday May 26 - Texas Rangers (Jon Gray) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez) - Pick - Orioles -125 L

Saturday May 27 - San Diego Padres (Michael Wacha) vs. New York Yankees (Luis Severino) - Pick Yankees -155 W

Saturday May 27 - Texas Rangers (Andrew Heaney) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Dean Kremer) - Pick - Orioles L

Sunday May 28 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Detroit Tigers (Eduardo Rodriguez) - Under 8/8.5 L

Sunday May 28 - Texas Rangers (Dane Dunning) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Kyle Bradish) - Pick - Orioles W

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Baseball News

Chris Paddack Player Prop Bets

Paddack recorded 10 strikeouts over seven shutout innings on Monday in a win over the White Sox. Prior to that start, Paddack was obliterated by the Orioles, allowing nine runs on 12 hits in 5 1/3 innings.

Zach Eflin Player Prop Bets

Zach Eflin has great value in fantasy leagues for the April 26 game against the lowly Chicago White Sox.  Betting on Eflin and the Tampa Bay Rays might make sense if not for the -210 price tag.

Trevor Williams Player Prop Bets

The Nats Trevor Williams held the Astros to one run with four strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision on Saturday.  And the betting public was eating him up at a near 80% clip. 

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