Free MLB Picks - August 14, 2023

Written by:
Dan Shapiro
Published on:
Aug/13/2023

We are now live at the G911 Sports Hub.  Let's look at Monday's games. 

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Angels @ Rangers

The Los Angeles Angels career statistics vs. Max Scherzer (11-4, 3.88 ERA) of the Texas Rangers are just 15 of 105 at bats (.143), though this is limited to just six players, none of whom are named Shohei Ohtani.

Scherzer has won his last three starts.

Texas, however, has only won three of its last ten games versus the Angels.  They have split the series in their last six meetings.  The Rangers have won nine of their last ten games overall compared to LA winning just three.

Patrick Sandoval is 6-8 with a 3.86 ERA.  He logged a quality start against the Giants his more recent start, which ended up a no decision.  The game before he permitted two runs in five innings Tuesday against the Braves in a loss. Sandoval won his prior two starts

Sandoval has allowed just 5 hits in 47 at bats versus the Rangers current roster.

Mariners @ Royals

Seattle is 7-3 against the Royals their last ten games. 

Logan Gilbert (10-5, 3.66 ERA) has won five of his last seven starts, including against San Diego his most recent appearance.  Gilbert has not had a loss since June 28.   He has been beaten up pretty bad in the limited 25 at bats versus the current KC roster (10-for-25, .400).

Astros @ Marlins

Framber Valdez has somewhat limited experience versus the Marlin but, in 35 at bats, he's managed to allow the current roster just five hits (.152). 

Valdez allowed six runs over seven innings on Tuesday against the Orioles.  The Marlins certainly provide him the opportunity to make amends, even though they are among the best teams right now versus left-handed starters.

Braxton Garrett will start for Miami.  He is 6-3 with a 4.08 ERA.  Garrett yielded two runs over six innings Tuesday in a win over the Reds.

The Astros have been the fourth most potent team in the league versus left-handed pitching this season, hitting to a wRC+ of 118 across 1224 PA's versus lefties.

We should note that the Marlins do have the highest batting average by a team against left-handed pitchers this season, with an average of .301.

Houston is a good play at -145.

Orioles @ Padres

The San Diego Padres struggle against right-handed pitching is real.  But the Padres place Yu Darvish out on the mound Monday night.  He's 8-7 with a 4.19 ERA and doesn't have a win in his last two starts.

Despite that, he allowed just one run — zero earned — with four strikeouts over six innings on Wednesday in a no-decision against the Mariners.  His prior start Darvish allowed two runs over seven innings with four strikeouts.

Grayson Rodriguez comes into this one with a 2.66 ERA and 0.93 WHIP over his last four starts.  That included being charged with two runs across six innings Tuesday against the Astros, though not factoring into the decision.  He hasn't had a win in some time.

San Diego has played in five games of their last ten where they failed to score over 4 runs.  Baltimore has had four such games.  San Diego has allowed four or fewer runs in four of their last ten.

Take the UNDER 8.5 here.  Yu does need to go deep as the Padres bullpen has not been among the best of late.

Gambling911 Upcoming Hot Plays/Results

Sunday August 13 - Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -130 W

Sunday August 13 - LA Angels @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -130 L

Saturday August 12 - Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Blue Jays -110 L

Friday August 11 - San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick UNDER 9 L

Thursday August 10 - No Plays

Wednesday August 9 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -134 W

Tuesday August 8 - LA Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Dodgers -152 W

Monday August 7 - No Plays

Sunday August 6 - Miami Marlins @ Texas Rangers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Saturday August 5 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L

Friday August 4 - No Plays

Thursday August 3 - Houston Astros @ New York Yankees - Pick Astros -142 L

Wednesday August 2 - No Plays

Tuesday August 1 - Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants - Pick UNDER 7.5 W

Monday July 31 - No Plays

Sunday July 30 - Seattle Mariners @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Pick Seattle -104 W

Saturday July 29 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros - Pick Astros -132 W

Friday July 28 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates - Pick Phillies -158 W

Thursday July 27 - No Plays

Wednesday July 26 - No Plays

Tuesday July 25 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick Brewers -150 L

Monday July 24 - Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -115 W

Sunday July 23 - No Plays

Saturday July 22 - New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox - Pick Red Sox -110 W

Friday July 21 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Blue Jays +110 L

Wednesday July 19 - Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners - Pick UNDER 7.5 L

Tuesday July 18 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -130 W

Monday July 17 - Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers - Pick UNDER 8.5 W

Sunday July 16 - Houston Astros @ LA Angels W

Saturday July 15 - Boston Red Sox @ Chicago Cubs -105 L

Friday July 14 - Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds - Pick Brewers -112 W

Sunday July 9 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - Pick Blue Jays -130 W

Saturday July 8 - Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 9.5 W

Saturday July 8 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -180 W

Friday July 7 - Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins - Pick Phillies -134 W

Friday July 7 - Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Guardians - Pick Guardians -175 W

Friday July 7 - Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins - Pick Twins -145 L

Thursday July 6 - St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins L

Wednesday July 5 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick OVER 8.5 L

Tuesday July 4 - Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Blue Jays -120 W

Monday July 3 - Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers - Pick UNDER 9 L

Sunday July 2 - Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles - Pick Twins L

Friday June 30 - Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -169 L

Thursday June 29 - LA Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies - Pick UNDER 12 L

Wednesday June 28 - Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals - Pick Guardians W

Thursday June 22 - Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins W

Tuesday June 20 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Monday June 19 - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox - Pick Rangers -128 W

Sunday June 18 - Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -150 W

Saturday June 17 - Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals - Pick Marlins -170 W

Thursday June 15 - Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres - Pick UNDER 8.5 L

Wednesday June 14 - New York Yankees vs. New York Mets - Pick UNDER 7 P

Tuesday June 13 - Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles - Pick Orioles +105 W

Monday June 12 - Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners - Pick Mariners -130 W

Sunday June 11 - Oakland Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total 8 - Pick UNDER 8 L

Friday June 9 - Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays - Pick Under 8.5 W

Wednesday June 7 - Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres - Pick Mariners +100 L

Tuesday June 6 - Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians - Pick Red Sox -106 W

Monday June 5 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick Rays -140 W

Monday June 5 - Kansas City Royals vs. Miami Marlins - Pick Marlins -155 W

Sunday June 4 - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - Pick UNDER 9 W

Sunday June 4 - Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox - Pick White Sox -167 W

Saturday June 3 - Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Pick Rangers -143 W

Saturday June 3 - Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 W

Wednesday May 31 - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants UNDER 8 L

Wednesday May 31 - Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros UNDER 8 L

Tuesday May 23 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Cleveland Guardians (Logan Allen) - Pick - Under 8.5 W

Wednesday May 24 - San Francisco Giants (Anthony DeSclafani) vs. Minnesota Twins (Joe Ryan) - Under 7.5 L (8 runs scored)

Thursday May 25 Gambling911.com Play - Toronto Blue Jays (Alek Manoah) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (Zach Eflin) - Pick Tampa Bay Rays -170 W

Friday May 26 - Texas Rangers (Jon Gray) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Grayson Rodriguez) - Pick - Orioles -125 L

Saturday May 27 - San Diego Padres (Michael Wacha) vs. New York Yankees (Luis Severino) - Pick Yankees -155 W

Saturday May 27 - Texas Rangers (Andrew Heaney) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Dean Kremer) - Pick - Orioles L

Sunday May 28 - Chicago White Sox (Dylan Cease) vs. Detroit Tigers (Eduardo Rodriguez) - Under 8/8.5 L

Sunday May 28 - Texas Rangers (Dane Dunning) vs. Baltimore Orioles (Kyle Bradish) - Pick - Orioles W

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

Baseball News

Chris Paddack Player Prop Bets

Paddack recorded 10 strikeouts over seven shutout innings on Monday in a win over the White Sox. Prior to that start, Paddack was obliterated by the Orioles, allowing nine runs on 12 hits in 5 1/3 innings.

Zach Eflin Player Prop Bets

Zach Eflin has great value in fantasy leagues for the April 26 game against the lowly Chicago White Sox.  Betting on Eflin and the Tampa Bay Rays might make sense if not for the -210 price tag.

Trevor Williams Player Prop Bets

The Nats Trevor Williams held the Astros to one run with four strikeouts across six innings in a no-decision on Saturday.  And the betting public was eating him up at a near 80% clip. 

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