Texas Tech vs. USF: What the Betting Line Should Be - Birmingham Bowl

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Published on:
Dec/23/2017

Gambling911.com resident bookmaker expert Tony Caliente breaks down the Birmingham Bowl and who is likely to win based on the line movement and the power ratings.

This one featured a line of -3 USF and there has only been a half point move off of -2.5.  All books were holding at -3 as of early Saturday morning. 60% of the spread action was coming in on USF so it certainly makes sense that the line would move up to -3.  The books do not have any interest in taking this one above that dreaded number.  This is an indication that the books believe this one could end with a 3-point Bulls victory.

The Red Raiders own a record of 6-6 Straight Up while the Bulls only had two losses on the season.  With this in mind, that -2.5/-3 line seems a little low on the surface.

The NFL Betting Power Ratings tell us otherwise with a line that should be set at South Florida -1.  There is no home field advantage here with the game being played in Northern Alabama.

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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